• When They Thought You Were Fools: Dr Fauci And Next-Generation Honesty For Vaccines And Respiratory Viruses

    February 28, 2023
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    “Attempting to control mucosal respiratory viruses with systemically administered non-replicating vaccines has thus far been largely unsuccessful”.

    Dr A Fauci (former director of NIAID), 2023, commenting on vaccines for Covid-19.

    The journal Cell Host & Microbe One recently published of the more important papers of the Covid era; ‘Rethinking next-generation vaccines for coronaviruses, influenza viruses, and other respiratory viruses’. This elicited surprisingly little fanfare considering its authorship and contents. Firstly, the final author was Dr. Anthony Fauci, the recently retired director of the United States National Institute of Allergies and Infectious Diseases (NIAID), normally a magnet for the media. Secondly, because Dr. Fauci and his co-authors provide evidence that much of what those in authority have told the public regarding Covid vaccines was contrary to what they knew to be true.

    Kudos to Dr Fauci for coming clean on the basics of viruses and immunology. If leading medical journals such as the New England Journal of Medicine or Lancet had employed editors with such knowledge three years ago, they might have contributed to public health rather than the gutting of society and global human rights. If those in authority had explained these truths and based their policies on them, things would also have been different. Likewise for the entire medical establishment. Much death, poverty and inequality might have been avoided. Trust may also have been maintained in the institutions within which they work.

    The paper co-written by Dr. Fauci discusses the potential to develop coronavirus vaccines and vaccines for other fast-mutating respiratory viruses. It is best to step through the paper in three parts; reviewing the evidence provided by the authors, noting the residual dogma that persists despite being contrary to this evidence, and lastly considering the implications of the paper regarding the Covid public health response. Reading the original paper is recommended, as this article only highlights extracts.

    1. Poor vaccine efficacy and the superiority of natural immunity.

    The review makes clear that vaccines against respiratory viruses such as influenza or coronaviruses (e.g. SARS-CoV-2 responsible for Covid) are highly unlikely to achieve the levels of effectiveness we expect from other vaccines. The authors note CDC data showing influenza vaccines, now pushed for all ages from 6 months upward, have an efficacy ranging from just 14% to a maximum of 60% since 2005 (extending back 17 years would have lowered this to 10%, with the average vaccine efficacy (VE) just below 40%). As Dr Fauci notes:

    “…our best approved influenza vaccines would be inadequate for licensure for most other vaccine-preventable diseases”.


    “…it is not surprising that none of the predominantly mucosal respiratory viruses have ever been effectively controlled by vaccines.”

    The authors provide clear explanations for this lack of efficacy:

    The vaccines for these two very different viruses have common characteristics: they elicit incomplete and short-lived protection against evolving virus variants that escape population immunity.”

    It is not just the high mutation rate that is a problem, but also the mode of infection:

    They replicate predominantly in local mucosal tissue, without causing viremia, and do not significantly encounter the systemic immune system or the full force of adaptive immune responses, which take at least 5–7 days to mature, usually well after the peak of viral replication and onward transmission to others.”

    As this honest appraisal notes, Covid vaccines were never expected to significantly reduce infection or transmission. 

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    The authors explain what most infectious disease doctors and immunologists have known throughout the Covid outbreak; that circulating antibodies (IgG and IgM) play only a limited role in controlling infections such as Covid, whilst mucosal antibodies (IgA) in the lining of the upper respiratory tract, not stimulated by injected vaccines, play a far larger role: 

    The importance of mucosal secretory IgA (sIgA) in pathogen-specific responses against respiratory viral infections has long been appreciated for influenza viruses, RSV and more recently SARS-CoV-2.”

    The significance here is that systemic vaccines, as the authors note, do not elicit mucosal IgA production.

    The efficacy against severe Covid that systemic vaccines do provide to some unexposed people within a certain window is explained by the observation:

    IgA appears to be a better effector in the upper respiratory tract, whereas IgG is better in the lung.”

    The early variants of SARS-CoV-2 were characterized by lung involvement. While CDC showed that vaccination on top of natural immunity provides almost no added clinical benefit, the reduction in Covid mortality (as distinct from all-cause mortality) claimed for the vaccines between early potential immune suppression and later waning of efficacy has a reasonable immunological basis. 

    As NIH acknowledged, T-cells are also a primary defense against coronaviruses, with cross-immunity against SARS-CoV-2 seen in many people not previously infected. Fauci et al. make the interesting observation that T-cell correlates for immunity are found after influenza infection, but not after influenza vaccination. This suggests a further mechanism to explain poorer efficacy of vaccines compared to natural infection, even against early SARS-CoV-2 variants.

    In summary, both the coronavirus and influenza vaccines are poor:

    “The vaccines for these two very different viruses have common characteristics: they elicit incomplete and short-lived protection against evolving virus variants that escape population immunity”.

    Clear, and succinctly put.

    Struggling with the dogma.

    The real value of the paper is in the way it contrasts Covid dogma against evidence. The authors start by noting that as many as 5 million people normally die globally every year from respiratory viruses. A comparison with the World Health Organization’s 6.8 million Covid deaths recorded over three years would have provided useful context (Note: is it important to distinguish deaths from Covid from total deaths from the pandemic that include those from Covid and lockdown impact). However, such an acknowledgement would have fit poorly with their following statement that:

     “SARS-CoV-2 has killed more than 1 million people in the United States.” 

     This is, of course, false. It is based on deaths after a recent positive PCR result, with CNN’s Covid analyst now admitting the exaggerations involved.  More strangely, the authors claim:

    “…the rapid development and deployment of SARS-CoV-2 vaccines has saved innumerable lives and helped to achieve early partial pandemic control

    That the vaccines appear to have saved too many lives for the authors to contemplate is surprising. Dr. Fauci felt able to contemplate numbers of deaths during the first year of the Covid outbreak when the virus hit a population said to have no prior immunity. Recorded mortality was similar in the second year, after mass vaccination was imposed, despite severe disease being heavily concentrated in a relatively small, well-defined elderly minority who were prioritized by the vaccination program. It is therefore more plausible that the vaccines averted relatively few deaths. Such a lack of impact is fully in line with the expectations of the authors noted above.

    Achieving “early partial epidemic control” is just strange for authors who have noted that  the IgG response does not really kick in until after the peak of viremia and transmission.  Putting dogma up against evidence is really hard when you have staked your reputation on the dogma, so the struggle apparent here is understandable.

    In recognition of the impact of reality on the Covid vaccine program, we can accept the rather vague acknowledgement that despite vaccination:

    “…significant numbers of fatalities [amongst the vaccinated] still occur.” 

    As the authors recognize:

    Attempting to control mucosal respiratory viruses with systemically administered non-replicating vaccines has thus far been largely unsuccessful”.

    The importance of this paper

    The authors of this paper are not developing new hypotheses to explain why Covid vaccine performance was disappointing. They are simply re-stating previous knowledge. Predictions of high and sustained vaccine efficacy, and vaccination paving the ‘way out of the pandemic’, were not expected to come true. These claims were a ploy to encourage adherence to a plan that would dramatically enrich certain corporate and public health figures. People with reasonable knowledge of the subject knew the rhetoric to be incorrect, though relatively few said so. The rest, presumably, were fooled.

    Fauci and co-authors therefore make an important contribution to the Covid narrative, underlining the deception of the past two years. Claims that this deception promoted an overall good – that there was a ‘global pandemic’ and compliance with mass vaccination would be for the population’s benefit – are refuted by Fauci et al.’s evidence. Mass vaccination, while very successful financially for a small but influential minority, was never expected to work.

    Natural immunity was always going to be more effective than vaccines, and statements to the contrary such as the John Snow Memorandum promoted by the Lancet contradicted expert understanding and common sense. Denigration of those pointing out the relative superiority of natural immunity was slander. When the last author of this paper stated publicly that Covid-19 vaccines work much better than natural immunity to protect you against coronavirus, he knew that was highly unlikely to be true.

    The public health community misled the public to promote injections with a new class of pharmaceutical. They had no long-term safety data, the vaccines targeted a virus they knew posed little harm to the vast majority of those to whom they were speaking, while many or most already had more effective natural  immunity. The long-term outcomes of this deception are yet to play themselves out, and will include a loss of trust in public health and the practice of medicine. This is justified, and can be argued to be a good thing. How each person reacts to confirmation that they have been fooled by those who promoted this narrative is an individual choice. The most foolish reaction would be to pretend that the deception did not occur.


    David Bell

    David Bell was formerly employed by the World Health Organization.
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    Regrettably vaccines stayed in the hands of politicians. In fact, the medical class was even prohibited from talking about treatments using substances such as ivermectin and other treatments under the decision of doctors.

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