The CD Media Big Data Poll in Georgia finds Republicans hold a solid lead on the Generic ballot statewide. Looking ahead to November, 47.2% of likely voters say they’d vote for the Republican candidate, while just 40.4% say they’ll back the Democratic candidate.
“Georgia is over Joe Biden and it’s hurting Democrats up and down the ballot,” Big Data Poll Director Rich Baris said. “Peach State Republicans are more likely than their rather depressed Democratic counterparts to vote in the midterms this November, but they also hold an advantage among independent voters.”
Among those certain to vote in the 2022 midterm elections, Republicans lead Democrats 51.5% to 41.7%. Eighty-one percent (81.1%) of Republicans said they are “certain to vote” juxtaposed to 76.3% of Democrats. Men (80.2%) are significantly more likely than women (69.6%) to express certainty in voting, and they are backing Republicans by a massive 53.5% to 35.9% margin. Women are only slightly favoring the Democratic candidate, 44.5% to 41.6%.
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Each party draws more than 9 in 10 base support, with 91.1% of Republicans backing their party’s candidate and 91.0% of Democrats doing the same. Independent and third-party voters back the GOP 38% to 29%, with a significant 27.4% remaining undecided.Democrats hold a large 60.4% to 26.1% lead amog urban voters, but Republicans lead among suburban and rural voters, 48.3% to 41.2% and 60.0% to 24.7%, respectively. By region, Democrats lead only in the Atlanta Metro 50.6% to 35.4%.
White voters overwhelmingly plan to back the Republican candidate for the U.S. House 64.4% to 24.3%, while black voters back the Democratic candidate 72.5% to 13.9%. Hispanics in Georgia also appear to be trending toward the GOP ahead of the midterms, slightly backing Republicans 43.8% to 43.4%. Asian voters continue to back Democrats, 48.6% to 31.2%. The CD Media Big Data Poll in Georgia interviewed 1,519 likely voters statewide via Peer-to-Peer SMS to an online survey panel from May 8 to May 11, 2022. The survey sampling error is ± 2.5% at a 95% confidence interval. Results are weighted to represent national voter file demographics in the state to include gender, age, race and region. The likely voter screen includes vote history and self-reported likelihood to vote. It’s important to note that sampling errors for subgroups are higher. Full crosstabs.