After a hopeful swell in July and August following the Supreme Court’s overturning of Roe v. Wade, the Democratic party is again facing an uphill battle going into the midterm election next month as hope turns to disappointment and desperation.
While Democrats had originally hoped that the overturn of Roe v. Wade would outrage blue voters and drive turnout, the recent New York Times/Siena College poll shows that only 5% of voters list abortion as their main issue. Instead, a plummeting economy and surging inflation at a 40-year high have overshadowed abortion as voters’ top concern.
With Joe Biden receiving performance approval from only 40% of Americans according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll, it appears that his overspending and denial about inflation have turned the summer swell red.
According to a new Harvard/Harris poll released Monday, 53% of voters are more likely to vote Republican than 47% who said they would vote for a Democrat.
Meanwhile, in the fight for a majority of the 50-50 split Senate, Dr. Oz has taken the lead in Pennsylvania and Republicans have gained small leads in Nevada and Wisconsin. RealClearPolitics is now predicting a 52-48 Senate with Republicans reclaiming control.
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A Democratic ad maker who worked for Bernie Sanders’ 2016 campaign, Mark Longabaugh, told Politico, “Look man, I’ve been at this for 30 years, and it is always the period in late September and early October when an election starts to tilt and move. So, we’re at that moment, and I don’t think you can look at these numbers across the country and say anything but it looks like it’s moving in Republicans’ direction.” Longabaugh went on to say, “I think it’s clear Republicans have seized the upper hand.”
Meanwhile, in Oregon, a state that has been staunchly blue for decades, it appears that Longabaugh may be correct with a Republican candidate running for governor likely to win. It would be the first Republican governor Oregon has had in 35 years.