Biden Has A Truth Problem (And Bell's Palsy)

No, he's not winking. Joe Biden. YouTube

"Come on, man!"

You've likely heard Joe Biden utter these words before. It's his way of deflecting. He says it quite often, along with "Give me a break!" and even more to the point, "You're full of shit." Why is Biden so defensive? Because, increasingly, he is entangled in a web of lies. Flat-out lies, not the gaffes for which he is so well known.

Biden's pivot to the far left is the root cause for some of his lying. Decades of his moderate past don't jibe with Joe 2.0 and his devotion to the Green New Deal and other socialist daydream legislation.

Last night's debate cemented Biden's positions. It also exposed him as a shameless liar. Far be it for host CNN to hold Biden accountable. Moderators had ample opportunity to hold his feet to the fire, but instead went after Bernie Sanders, no surprise there.

How does an affable guy like Uncle Joe become such a slimy, mendacious snake?

The behavior model on display is similar to that of a small-time criminal who, caught in the act, claims passionately that he didn't do anything, over and over. In the mind of the criminal, no misdeed occurred because he was caught before he completed the crime. For Biden, it's the opposite: his support for cutting social security, for instance, was a political lifetime ago. That was a different guy, he's silently pleading to the public. I'm the other Biden. Gimme a break.

In the breezy catacombs of his mind, Biden is innocent, immune to ethical judgment because the alleged crimes of his general election opponent are so awful. If I have to lie to win and take on Trump, well, the end justifies the means.

So Biden took the stage last night and told a slew of baldfaced whoppers. His strategy became clear: if Sanders goes left, go with him. Say whatever it takes to avoid Sanders claiming victory. Confuse him, lie--just avoid a loss.

It started with the above exchange about Super PAC money. To be clear, Biden pledged at the beginning of his campaign that he wouldn't take Super PAC donations. He was trying to be like Bernie, who famously eschews corporate funding. It's the foundation of the Sanders story. It's like the Geico ad: everybody knows that.

Biden went back on his pledge when funds dried up in October. He quickly and quietly formed the "Unite the Country" PAC. Biden knew he was vulnerable on this point--the swamp creature beholden to corporate cash. So he chose to sling mud.

Biden had the temerity to lie about PAC money, wildly claiming that Bernie takes money from "nine" Super PACs. CNN gave Biden the break he's always requesting, moving on to the next question. Sanders, to his discredit, let it go. Embarrassing for everyone involved.

What about social security?

Biden was in fact one of the few vocal supporters of cutting social security over the course of his career, but he denied as much to Sanders, to the senator's astonishment. Indeed, Sanders was so floored by Biden's balls to the wall approach, he was unable to make the lie stick. Same with Biden refusing to support gay marriage on the debate stage twelve years ago.

Verifiable lies. One after another.

The next one--the credit card "bankruptcy bill" Biden helped to write--is especially ugly, because it involved Biden's great albatross, his disgraced son Hunter. The bill decimated the ability of families to file for bankruptcy. The effects of its passage (signed into law by George W. Bush) were exacerbated in the wake of the Great Recession of 2008. Biden supported it because 21 year-old Hunter was working as a consultant to MBNA, a bank, and the largest employer in Delaware.

Biden hurt middle class families across the entire country so his derelict son could make money on a no-show job. Why do I say no-show? Because 21 year-old skirt chasers with a Poli. Sci. major and a beer-soaked diploma from the state U don't possess any wisdom that a large bank would find valuable.

Not only is the initial sin an awful one, but to then lie about it is utter folly. Trump won't be as kind as lights-out-in-the-cottage Sanders. This is red meat. Joe is dead meat.

While "social distancing" insured no danger of actual fisticuffs, as Biden might put it, there were some aggressive looks telegraphed across the stage during the Grumpy Old Man hour on CNN (see tweet below).

The next lie is a more fluid situation, or it was until last night. Biden had wrangled the endorsement of Pennsylvania governor Conor Lamb by claiming that he would keep fracking and drilling jobs alive in his state if elected. The issue? Only the economic health of oil and coal states like Pennsylvania.

Biden might have assuaged Democrats across the country during the debate, but his desperate promise of no drilling or fracking surely lost him a lot of Democrat and Independent voters in key swing states. Again, it's as though Biden would do anything to finally snuff out the barely-Berning candle that is Sanders' campaign.

Then there's the pandering to black voters. Why do Democrats get away with this? From RealClear Politics:

"This day, 30 years ago, Nelson Mandela walked out of prison and entered into discussions about apartheid," Biden told voters in Columbia, S.C., on Feb. 11, in a story about his time as the Democratic senator from Delaware. "I had the great honor of meeting him. I had the great honor of being arrested with our U.N. ambassador on the streets of Soweto trying to get to see him on [Robben] Island."

With Sanders reaching black voters, Biden retold his lie about Mandela at a black history awards brunch in Las Vegas, and even added some Bidenesque embellishments.

"He threw his arms around me and said, 'I want to say thank you,'" Biden told supporters. "I said, 'What are you thanking me for, Mr. President?' He said: 'You tried to see me. You got arrested trying to see me.' "

Gross, Joe.

Saving Face? Biden has Bell's Palsy, or at least a bad Botox reaction

Want to see something remarkable? Skip to 15:25 in the video below. This is from a disastrous town hall in Illinois on the 14th, where the Biden team got everything wrong. Biden's left eye--yes, the same one that filled with blood during a town hall in September of 2019--seems to shut of its own accord. Biden, to compensate for this loss of control, walks out of the frame, presumably to the corner of the imaginary boxing ring to see his cut man, then shuffles back into place.

This is a different kind of dishonesty. Biden is lying about his health. Indeed, he took and passed a physical exam in December, but his doctor claimed that he didn't perform the cognitive function battery of testing. My guess is that he did, and Biden failed. Why else would he allow such an omission, all the more glaring by its absence?

Let's be clear about Biden: he's a liar. His has been a long run, and he's suffered more than his share of tragedy. His bad decisions have been made to try to benefit his family and friends (the Biden chapter of Peter Schweizer's "Profiles in Corruption" is damning), and any parent understands that impulse.

But to be exposed as a common, base liar? That doesn't fit the carefully cultivated image of straight-talking, "No Malarkey" Joe Biden.

That dissonance will be his undoing once someone makes his lies stick.

Bernie Stays In: Why That's Good

Bernard Sanders. YouTube

Despite the devastating results from last night's primaries, Bernie Sanders is holding on. Sanders declared his intention to stay in the race this afternoon in a press conference in Vermont. He will remain a candidate until after the next debate, scheduled for Sunday night at 8:00 pm EDT (CNN), and possibly longer.

Sanders, according to Nate Silver's projections, has virtually no chance of reaching the 1,991 delegates needed to secure the nomination. He would need a miracle to get back into contention. That's why Sunday's debate sets up to be his Hail Mary moment.

It's unlikely that Sanders has the moxie to force Biden into a corner during the debate. Both men are old, both have suffered debilitating health events. Both are certainly exhausted by nonstop campaigning. That said, this is Bernie's best and last chance to hit his opponent relentlessly until Biden folds. Or spews some bit of nonsense so damning that even the sand-submerged ostrich heads that make up his base pop up and take notice of their candidate's worsening dementia.

We're talking about a Howard Dean squeal, a Dukakis tank ride moment. It has to be epically bad, like Biden's dentures falling out of his mouth, or saying the n-word on national television.

https://twitter.com/80S1X/status/1237852389593374720

Lets put the chances of such a moment occurring at 5%. It's not much, but it's not nothing. If anyone has proven to be a PR train wreck, it's Biden. And that held true long before daily displays of fogginess. A Joe-plosion is Bernie's only hope.

But will Sanders press Biden into a mistake? Unlikely, says a reporter who spent weeks with the campaign:

Meanwhile, a small group of senior aides had been pushing Sanders for months to go harder on Biden.

The problem: Sanders actually likes him. Personally, they got along better than he ever did with Hillary Clinton, aides have said. (The former vice president falls into an exclusive category for the Vermont senator: the people who were nice to Sanders before he mattered, as two aides put it recently.) Back in January, it was the candidate’s decision to personally apologize to Biden after one of his surrogates, Zephyr Teachout, wrote an op-ed about Biden’s “corruption problem.”

The Effect of Sanders Sticking Around

For Sanders to show some grit is important. If he folded the moment a win looked virtually impossible and went out with a whimper--some of his supporters would turn on him, and not the DNC/Biden machine.

All Americans should be disturbed by the DNC's shameless meddling in the selection of the party's candidate. Sure, it's "their" party, but the candidate should be decided by the people who comprise the party, not its unelected bureaucrats.

Bernie voters angry with the DNC are more likely to write Bernie in as a candidate (indeed, #WriteInBernie is trending on Twitter today, as is #DemExit2020). Or they'll stay home. And although it's a small number, some will turn to Trump.

Sanders followers have gained unique insight into the dishonest media. They know what it looks like to have reporters fawn over their candidate's rivals while ignoring his wins.

The longer this gets dragged out, perhaps more Berniebros will begin to admit to themselves that they have more in common with Trump than with Biden, the DNC's tired, corrupt marionette.

American Samoa Forces Sen. Warren To Quit

American Samoa is a collection of islands and atolls in a remote corner of Polynesia but because it is a U.S. Territory its citizens are allowed to hold a caucus to select their prefered candidate for President of the United States. Their form of government is a "devolved presidential constitutional dependency" which should produce enthusiastic Democratic Party voters but on Super Tuesday only 351 of the 55,000 inhabitants turned up to vote. The Samoans really like Mike Bloomberg who won the majority of delegates from this Shangri-La in the south pacific, but the most significant win was a single delegate captured by a native daughter of Tutuila.

American Samoa
American Samoa is 7,000 miles away from Washington D.C.

Tulsi Gabbard was born in American Samoa in 1981 and 38 years later she won a single delegate in the territories caucus. One delegate from Oceania is not going to make headlines in the MSM but it does qualify a Democratic candidate to participate in the upcoming March 15th debate. The DNC has been doing everything it can to keep Gabbard off the debate stage ever since she sank establishment favorite Kamala Harris in the fifth debate last November. Now it looks like the DNC will have to change its rules yet again to keep the specter of the attractive 38 year old Major from standing beside two septuagenarian DC lifers.

Alas, changing the Democratic Debate Rules was not going to be enough because even though American Samoa's prefered leader, Mike Bloomberg, dropped out of the race the morning after his win another candidate refused to concede defeat. Senator Elizabeth Warren, who came in an embarrassing 3rd place in her home State of Massachusetts, was still in the fight. The woman President Trump calls "Pocahontas" had no conceivable chance of winning the Democratic nomination but she probably would qualify for the March debate even with the DNC rule change. If Sen. Warren were admitted into the debate then Tulsi Gabbard would have a strong case to demand a 4th podium on the stage so...

Today Senator Elizabeth Warren ended her campaign and refused to endorse either Joe Biden or Bernie Sanders even though, after competing against them for over a year, she must have a preference. “I need some space and I need a little time right now,” Warren said at a press gathering outside her house this afternoon. Space and time and a lots of quiet to contemplate the terrifying power of Tulsi Gabbard and how low the DNC will go to silence a woman's voice.

Did The Democratic Debate Matter? Takeaways And Predictions

YouTube

Performance Ranking

  1. Sanders
  2. Warren
  3. Buttigieg
  4. Tie: Biden/Bloomberg
  5. Klobuchar
  6. Steyer

Tuesday's debate in South Carolina didn't rival last week's Nevada fireworks display, but it was far from boring. Plenty of votes were won and lost, but not enough to move the dial drastically. Bernie Sanders is still the frontrunner, Michael Bloomberg isn't going away, Joe Biden's ugly flameout continues.

Super Tuesday looms.

Highlights

Sanders was clearly advised to keep his anger in check. Attacked on all sides, he largely succeeded in remaining calm. Bloomberg tried his best to needle the frontrunner, but Bernie merely smiled. His mantra--that socialist ideas aren't radical because they are practiced elsewhere--was his shield.

Elizabeth Warren jabbed Bloomberg effectively at first, then repeated a line allegedly uttered by the CEO in 1995 concerning an employee's in utero child: "Kill it." The audience yelled out in protest, and Warren was taken aback. Bloomberg categorically denied the remark. As a result, accusations flew that Bloomberg had stacked the audience.

https://twitter.com/NStarFan/status/1232676113668870146

With tickets ranging from $1,750 to $3,200, perhaps the audience simply identified with Bloomberg. At any rate, a Bloomberg spokesperson denied the charge. What no one disputed was the airing of a television ad for Bloomberg during a break in the debate. Host network CBS is clearly in bed with Bloomberg on that score. They may be hiring Sanders-friendly talking heads at MSNBC, but not at the Eye.

Pete Buttigieg had a decent showing. He shaved this time, ditching Nevada's five o'clock shadow look. He managed to turn off fellow veterans with his discussion of military service. Apart from that, Mayor Pete held his own, never shining particularly brightly, but never attacking with the doggedness we saw in his interrogation of Amy Klobuchar last week.

https://twitter.com/BuzzPatterson/status/1230320896230866944

It was a surprise to see Tom Steyer on stage. He made the cut with some surprisingly strong polling numbers, coming in third in two recent polls and tied for fourth in another. He wore the same tartan wool tie, contributed nothing, and was called "Tommy Come Lately" by Biden.

Speaking of Biden, he was disastrous. He barely managed to string two sentences together without stumbling, going off on a tangent, or telling a whopper. The biggest snafus, by most lights: a claim that there have been 150 million gun deaths in the U.S. since 2007.

In other words, 11.5 million gun deaths per year for 13 years. I guess those Obama years were bloodier than most remember. Nearly half the country was killed? Hey Planned Parenthood, hold my beer.

That said, we've come to expect verbal errors from the elderly Biden. So surely, the worst was his line about respecting the time allotted for answers: "Why am I stopping? No one else stops." (Skip to 2:45:25)

Skip to 2:45:25

Those are pretty bad. As Jason Miller of War Room: 2020 opines, Biden at this point has "mashed potatoes" between his ears. It's ugly, it's cringeworthy. But the worst part wasn't a garbled, word salad sentence. No, Biden's biggest mistake was simple. He claimed, in response to a panelist, "I will win South Carolina."

It's an epitaph.

Over the last six South Carolina primary polls, Biden has averaged just over a five point lead (5.16%). If we subtract the outlier, a 15 point win in a Public Policy Polling survey, his once daunting lead has dwindled to just 3.1%, near or beyond the margin of error of most polls. His incompetent showing last night could lose him the state. Even if he squeaks out a victory, it will be hollow.

And the yelling! Why all the yelling?! Biden is like turbo. I'll explain: when racing, professional drivers with turbo-assisted engines seek to keep the turbo boost spooled up. If the boost drops, the next time the driver punches the accelerator, there's a costly moment of "turbo lag," a sluggish response. Same with Biden. If he isn't shouting in indignation, he can't finish his sentences. He needs to keep it dialed up or he sputters.

Biden's Hail Mary: near the end of the debate, he delivered a line about nominating a black woman to the Supreme Court. From anyone else it would be seen as pandering. Give Joe this much: from him it seems like a legitimate promise.

Mike Bloomberg was good on the question of public vs. charter schools, but was otherwise a nonentity. Which is fine--his goal for the night was not to step on any more land mines. Make it out intact. And he did.

Bloomberg also acted as counterpoint to Sanders on the latter's biggest gaffe of the night. Caught off guard by a question on Israel--whether the U.S. embassy should be moved back to Tel Aviv from Jerusalem(skip to 2:40:30 in the clip above)--Sanders stumbled, tried to turn the conversation to a slam of Bibi Netenyahu as a "reactionary racist" and then went on to state that the Palestinians' needs must be taken into account.

This is Sanders doing his required anti-Israel dance to pay his Squad dues. He's greasing the skids for the likes of Alexandria Ocasio Cortez and Ilhan Omar. The problem? Israel is an important strategic ally, sure, but this kind of name calling frames Sanders as weak on foreign policy.

Then Bloomberg stepped in and hit his one homer of the night...almost. Bloomberg provided historical context, stated that the embassy will stay in Jerusalem, and that Israel's borders won't change. Then he struggled to describe new developments built in occupied territory and finished flat.

Amy Klobuchar was next to invisible, and when she did say something noteworthy, it was often offering up a folksy line in the context of a serious matter, such as the image of President Trump taking "hot dish" over to an international enemy. Forget that much of the country doesn't know what "hot dish" means, it's more of Klobuchar's inability to seem presidential.

She should be the nominee--she would be a great opponent against Trump on paper. She resonates with women, she has plenty of serious experience as a senator, and hers is a good American story. Then she opens her mouth. She comes across as a soccer mom.

Predictions: Biden will show poorly in South Carolina. The same for North Carolina. He will be out of the race by the end of March, along with Klobuchar, Buttigieg, and Steyer. Warren will stay in. Bloomberg will not exit despite a mediocre Super Tuesday showing, and double down on spending.

Who's Afraid Of Bernie Sanders?

Bernie Sanders. YouTube

Mass media are hyperventilating over Bernie. Good. Let the infighting rage on.

Lately, however, many Democrats and some conservatives close to me have started to assume that Bernie will win the nomination. Caught up in the moment, some go so far as to say he may even defeat President Trump. What evidence do they offer to support such claims? Let's assess them soberly.

"But, no one has ever won the first three primaries!"

True. Neither has Bernie. No trustworthy person knows the actual results from the fiasco that was the Corn State caucus. It stands to reason that Sanders won--he allegedly won the popular vote, despite gaining six delegates to Pete Buttigieg's seven, but the reality is that nothing has been certified.

This is the weakest plank of my rebuttal, but it bears stating: Iowa has not been certified, and it stands as a permanent scar on both our electoral process and the corrupt DNC. At any rate, three wins? So what? Iowa, New Hampshire, and Nevada are outliers in several demographic categories, from race (white, whiter, very dark, respectively) to total population (30th, 41st, 33rd).

Wake me on Super Tuesday.

"He's An Alpha!"

This one really makes me laugh. The only way Bernard Sanders is an alpha male is when he's in a room full of vape-sucking, man-purse-shouldering fellas. He's a simpy activist. His jaw hangs open. He has the physical bearing of Abe Simpson. He's 78 going on 90. Yelling doesn't make someone an alpha. Presence does. Bernie has the presence of a brown wool bathrobe with mothballs in the pockets.

Chatting up Bloomberg about multiple stent procedures cancels Bernie's alpha card, not that he ever carried one. No, heart disease doesn't make you a wimp, but it's a weak move to play Physical Malady Bingo on the debate stage with your septuagenarian cohort.

Reminder: America has momentarily forgotten that any serious illness between now and June would ruin Bernie's chances. No amount of AOC defibrillation will save Bernie a second time.

Any mishap that takes him off the campaign trail, even for a few days, such as the flu, would effectively cancel Bernie. That's how tenuous his hold is on the top spot.

"Alpha male" or "scared grandpa?"

"But he's the frontrunner, and leading most of the state polls!"

First, Bernie isn't a natural frontrunner. His greatest hits are all when punching up, not down. He's only in the lead due to the embarrassingly weak field. To wit: the intersectional, tolerant, diverse Democrat field is down to:

Leading that field isn't a win, it's a gold star on a potty training chart: congrats, Bernie, you didn't sh*t your Depends this week.

As for the polls? This is Bernie's second straight presidential campaign and millionth televised debate. Larry David has gently aped him on SNL for years. Folks know Bernie as a kind old man. Bloomberg, still unknown to large swaths of the voting public, hasn't even been on a ballot yet. Contrary to public desire, he isn't going away. Still others wait in the wings, including the world record holder for Most Friends Who Have Committed Suicide.

"All Dems will vote for Bernie in November!"

No they won't. Just stop it. Take a few breaths. Bernie--with his open borders and a welfare state, with his equal rights for illegal aliens, with his defense of Fidel Castro's Required Reading Hour, with his unknown price tag on Medicare For All and trillions-per-year Green New Deal is a multi-box-checking nonstarter to all classical liberals, many Democrats, and even more Independents.

The centrists may not vote Trump, but they aren't pulling the lever for their own financial ruin.

Bernie is to the left of Lenin. He guarantees low Democratic turnout.

"The Party will be forced to embrace him!"

No they won't. Corporate kingmakers put Tom Perez in place at the DNC specifically to ensure that Sanders doesn't get the nomination. They aren't going to roll over due to the latest surge in a volatile field. Sanders is the flavor of the week, maybe the month. Remember when everyone was resigned to Bloomberg as the nominee? And Buttigieg before him? And Biden before that? And Kamala before that?

Corporate America will never embrace Bernie. Therefore, the media (corporate America's mouthpiece) will never embrace Bernie. While they've been spastic and panicky about it this week (see tweet above), they'll figure out a way to steer sheep away from the Sanders flock. It's literally their job. They have three months, which is a lot of news cycles.

"That's what they said about Trump in 2016! This is the same thing, but for Dems!"

This might be my favorite line. It has a creepy ring of truth to it--after all, both Trump and Sanders are populists. The media hates both men. Followers of both are unusually inspired.

But that's where it ends. Trump ran on border security, something many Americans of all political stripes have wanted for decades. Trump ran on draining the corrupt DC swamp, something virtually all Americans desire. Trump ran on America First, which, while not as universally popular as his other planks, is not a purely partisan issue, and appeals to common sense. And Trump ran on straight talk, not politically correct nonsense, something many Americans have yearned for since the early nineties.

Bernie is running on a high school class president platform: free stuff, somehow. Free medicare, free tuition, and lots of spending on the environment. He's also running on open borders. Once moderate Democrats come to grips with how entirely the economy and their neighborhoods would be made unrecognizable under Sanders, the swooning will end. "New Bernie fans" will look back on this lunacy the way you remember a bad first date: I can't believe I almost fell for a communist!

Tune in Tuesday

All that said, be sure to watch the debate in South Carolina tomorrow night (8pm EST on CBS). Five desperate politicians are going to attack Sanders with everything but actual hammers and sickles. If you watched last week's episode, you know that Sanders grows angry when challenged repeatedly, turning from red to nearly purple.

If he survives that, plus the spending frenzy of Mike "Full Monty Burns" Bloomberg on Super Tuesday, then we can start to talk about the nomination.

5th Dem Debate: Candidates On Their Best Behavior, Except Yang

Screencap: YouTube

Democratic Party In Shambles

The DNC appears to have handed down a dictum to all the participants in the 5th Democratic presidential candidate debate: act like sane, rational individuals or you're off the stage next time around.

Why did all the candidates look like they were afraid of a scolding from Mary Poppins? Even the crowd was restrained. In short, the Democratic Party is in upheaval. The bad optics are manifold: the Bidens and Pelosis using influence to soak Ukraine, Hunter Biden in the news for a DNA test proving that he fathered a child with Arkansan Lundin Roberts while dating his dead brother's widow after a hasty divorce from the mother of his first three children. Why did Roberts come forward? Because Hunter stopped paying child support! Add to that allegations leveled at Paul Pelosi Jr. of abuse, forced abortion, property fraud, and calling Child Protective Services on the mother of his children in order to gain custody.

Add to this tabloid-level fare the utter shenanigans of the impeachment hearings. Chairman Adam Schiff has beat on against the tide of an embarrassing inability to find a crime rising to anywhere near the level of impeachment. After a week and a half of tedious hearings, the best they have produced is the presumption of a quid pro quo of an Oval Office meeting with Ukraine's new president Volodymyr Zelensky in exchange for an announcement by Zelensky that he would initiate an investigation into corrupt energy company Burisma.

That all of this comes on the heels of a failed, 2-year, $40 million investigation into Russian collusion that yielded nothing but theater of the absurd is one thing. That the crop of Democratic nominees have been shown to be, by turn, too old, in poor health, dishonest about racial identity, taking cues from astrology, or generally unqualified.

Lastly, the party is in the grip of the young, brash, and sophomoric Squad and other leftists. Tension between Speaker Nancy Pelosi's leadership and the Squad has been well documented, and others such as Rep. Maxine Waters have adopted a posture of Impeachment Or Bust.

There is no room for further embarrassment. And that's why the debate last night was toothless, an exercise in restraint. The real show is impeachment, and to distract from that would be Dem sacrilege. Not to mention that none of the candidates on stage would likely survive a brokered convention versus the likes of a Michael Bloomberg or Hillary Clinton.

Not Many Debate Highlights, Yang Shafted

Andrew Yang trolled the co-hosts of the debate, the Washington Post, beautifully. As the Daily Caller reported, "Businessman Andrew Yang got the least amount of speaking time, and it also took moderators 32 minutes to ask him a single question. He spoke for just under seven minutes during the two-hour debate." Afterward, he visited with the ragtag WaPo pundits after the debate, asking sarcastically, "Washington Post! Objective reporting, "Democracy Dies In Darkness," is that you guys?"

Joe Biden performed as expected. He stuttered, claimed blackness by proxy, and committed yet another awful gaffe.

Alleged staff abuser Amy Klobuchar had another case of the shakes.

There wasn't much else worth dissecting. To summarize, the candidates made no moves that will affect their polling. The 5th was the most boring debate from this cycle to date.

Schiffty, Hunter, Bolton, LeBron, And Project Veritas In Tonight's Debate? No, Just Impeachment

Screenshot: YouTube

Tonight, two scandal-ridden news corporations--CNN and the New York Times--will host the fourth Democratic presidential candidate debate. It will be held at Otterbein University in the swing state of Ohio, beginning at 8 p.m. EST. Broadcasts will be available on CNN, streamed live on CNN and the Times website, and on a number of streaming media channels. Erin Burnett and Anderson Cooper of CNN and Marc Lacey from the Times will moderate. 

Don't You Wish...

The topics many of us would like to hear about--Hunter and "Beijing Joe" Biden in Ukraine and China, the unraveling of Obama/Brennan/Clapper spying, LeBron James greedily supporting China, John Bolton basically admitting his role in the whistleblower farce, Adam Schiff's secretive kangaroo court--these will likely not come up, or not in the fashion we would prefer. It's their sandbox, after all. Still, there might be some fireworks.

Where They Stand

The latest national poll of Dems from Quinnipiac has Elizabeth Warren leading at 30%, Joe Biden holding onto second at 27%, and recent heart attack sufferer Bernie Sanders falling to 11%, only 3 points ahead of Pete Buttigieg. Pardon the mixed metaphors, but it's a two-horse race with blood in the water. The also-rans are hungry to fill what they perceive will be a vacuum at the top now that Biden is tainted and health concerns cloud Sanders.

Biden has lost his lead due to mental fuzziness and his son Hunter's business dealings in Ukraine and China, which mass media still blithely insists is not an issue. Expect some broadsides, but likely not pointed attacks aimed at Hunter.

Warren still has Native American issues, that career-long lie isn't going anywhere. She was roasted on Columbus Day Indegenous People's Day for her what-me-worry? tone on Twitter.

The Debaters:

That's right, Tulsi Gabbard is back after being punished by the DNC for all but erasing the hopes of lefty darling Kamala Harris and (gasp) courting centrist voters in the second debate. Gabbard had threatened to boycott the debate in protest, accusing the DNC of trying to "hijack the election," but she has apparently decided to make her case onstage. Watch her for a strong critique of the DNC, which of course has a history of rigging debates.

(Honestly, why is CNN allowed to host presidential debates after the Clinton-Donna Brazile debate question exchange? Why was Brazile not charged with a crime?)

Tom Steyer, billionaire hedge fund manager and Never Trumper, will also take the stage for the first time. His charisma is probably the first thing you won't notice. I doubt moderators will steer many questions his way as many view his candidacy as a vanity project, and his appearance is antithetical to the Dem ideal: a very rich white male Boomer.

How Will Sanders Do?

Sanders is tentatively scheduled to debate, but don't be surprised if he withdraws. Anything less than a vibrant performance will sink him even further. He has been resting in Vermont ahead of the debate. One angle to consider is Bernie's ability to be Bernie. As anyone who has undergone a heart procedure (or knows someone who has) can attest, there are consequences. Has he had enough time to recover? But further, was any permanent damage done to the heart muscle? Is he on statins, which can cause dizziness? Sanders' bellicose style doesn't exactly mix well with blood thinners. I suspect a medical team will be on hand.

Biden Vs. Warren

I predict that after the dust settles, Warren will have solidified her frontrunner status. Biden needs a flawless performance, and with all that has been swirling around his increasingly befuddled head recently, I don't think he's capable of a home run. He's playing defense, and that's not his strength. Watch to see whether he can stop from jabbing the air with his pointer finger.

Let's Tweet About It!

I'll be live on Twitter @CourtAnderson9 if you want to chat about the debate as it's taking place. Enjoy the debate. It's always fun to watch identity politicians pretend to be unified.

Polident Politician Mumbles Inconvenient Truths, Is Mocked

Undentured servant Joe Biden. Screenshot: YouTube

You Had One Job, Joe

Several articles yesterday shared a common theme: Joe Biden didn't need to win the third debate, he just needed not to lose it. Surprising only political neophytes, Joe lost in spectacular fashion, just a few steps short of the finish line in the marathon 3-hour Dem-fest.

Brought to you by ABC-Disney-ESPN, the third Democratic candidate debate mercifully pruned the bloated field to ten candidates. Moderators, especially ABC correspondent Linsey Davis and Univision anchor Jorge Ramos, asked some hard-hitting questions. Continuing the trend of appealing to Mexican-Americans both legal and otherwise, unos pocos candidatos spoke mucho español.

Fixodent And Forget The Truth

First, either Joe's bridge came loose or his Super Poligrip slipped. In either case, he sounded like he was gargling marbles while discussing gun control before he popped it back in place with his tongue. To watch, go to 54:17 in this link. (If you're wondering why I don't just embed a video of the moment, YouTube has made the debate un-embeddable.)

When he isn't blinking a bloody eyeball or losing his fake teeth, Biden often displays a remarkably casual brand of racism. The worst moment in his performance came at 2:06:48 in this video. Sure, he was tired. He's almost 77, he'd been standing for two hours, and it was way past his supper time. Still...the quote (emphasis mine) is too honest by far for Democrat ears.

MODERATOR: Mr. Vice President, I want to come to you and talk to you about inequality in schools and race. [BIDEN chuckles incredulously]
In a conversation about how to deal with segregation in schools back in 1975, you told a reporter, "I don't feel responsible for the sins of my father and grandfather, I feel responsible for what the situation is today, for the sins of my own generation, and I'll be damned if I feel responsible to pay for what happened 300 years ago."
You said that some 40 years ago. But as you stand here tonight, what responsibility do you think that Americans need to take to repair the legacy of slavery in our country?


BIDEN: Well, they have to deal with the -- look, there's institutional segregation in this country. And from the time I got involved, I started dealing with that. Redlining banks, making sure that we are in a position where -- look, you talk about education. I propose that what we take is those very poor schools, the Title I schools, triple the amount of money we spend from 15 to $45 billion a year. Give every single teacher a raise, the equal raise to getting out -- the $60,000 level.
Number two, make sure that we bring in to help the teachers deal with the problems that come from home. The problems that come from home, we need -- we have one school psychologist for every 1,500 kids in America today. It's crazy.
The teachers are -- I'm married to a teacher. My deceased wife is a teacher. They have every problem coming to them. We have -- make sure that every single child does, in fact, have 3-, 4-, and 5-year-olds go to school. School. Not daycare. School. We bring social workers in to homes and parents to help them deal with how to raise their children.
It's not want they don't want to help. They don't -- they don't know quite what to do. Play the radio, make sure the television -- excuse me, make sure you have the record player on at night, the -- the -- make sure that kids hear words. A kid coming from a very poor school -- a very poor background will hear 4 million words fewer spoken by the time they get there.

Biden is speaking in liberal code, because he has finally learned that Democrats aren't allowed to speak truth about black America. To be fair, he could remark more freely in 1975 (the first bolded part). Before the era of white guilt, it was perfectly acceptable to opine on the ridiculous, unworkable proposition that is black reparations. Granted, Biden put it rather indelicately. When he signals, it's more of a catcall than a dogwhistle.

Dems Keeping Blacks Down: It's A Team Effort

None of this should surprise CD Media readers, as we have demonstrated at length that the Democratic Party is without question the party of slavery, and that Joe Biden is, by any standard, a racist. Politically, he is a direct descendant of LBJ, and we know what happens when Democrats try to help blacks: welfare and other entitlements utterly wrecked the black family unit. Relatively stable rates of black single-parent families rocketed from 23% to 77% after the advent of LBJ's 1964 Great Society programs.

Biden did his part to hurt black families by authoring the 1994 crime bill that resulted in greater mass incarceration of black men.

Back to the gaffe-fest quotation: a Title I school is federally-funded school ($14 billion per year) with a high concentration of students in poverty. Title I students are overwhelmingly made up of minorities, over 66%. So when Biden says "Title I schools," he's really saying "black and brown kids."

No rational person is saying he's wrong--minority students are failing at stupendous rates. In a 2015 NAEP study cited in US News & World Report, only 7% of black students and 12% of Hispanic high school graduates were college-entry proficient in math, and only 17% and 25%, respectively, in reading.

Play at night to educate the poor. Image by Steve Bowbrick.

It's not the facts that come off as condescending. It's the clumsy, out of touch tone: "We bring social workers ...to help them deal with how to raise their children." Translation: minorities are bad parents.

"It's not want they don't want to help. They don't -- they don't know quite what to do." Translation: minorities are ignorant, bad parents.

"Play the radio, make sure the television -- excuse me, make sure you have the record player on at night, the -- the -- make sure that kids hear words. A kid coming from...a very poor background will hear 4 million words fewer spoken by the time they get there." Translation: minorities are ignorant, bad, illiterate parents.

Let's take a stab at Biden's inner monologue during the quote above:

"Oh shoot I said television, they'll think I'm advising poor blacks to watch more TV...quick, what's another thing you turn on and words come out?? Think! Oh, right, a gramophone! Wait, that sounds old-fashioned...what do the kids call them now...right! A record player. Whew! And I managed not to explicitly say that black parents don't talk to their kids enough like I did a few months ago. Now to wrap up with my 4 million words statistic. I'm doing great!"

But the funniest part of this whole charade is that Democrats are still clinging to this party relic as if he were their best hope. Sadly for them, he probably is.

Trump must be aching for a debate.

Democratic Candidates: And Then There Were 10 (Except It's Only 3, And Probably Only 2)

Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren. Screenshot: YouTube

Made The Cut

The list of Democratic presidential candidates who made the September 12th debate cut is out. Surviving candidates include Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Pete Buttigieg, Cory Booker, Julián Castro, Amy Klobuchar, Andrew Yang, and for some reason, Robert O'Rourke.

While a presidential candidate can continue campaigning after failing to qualify for the next debate, it would be a quixotic quest. Gaining popularity while out of the public eye is next to impossible. Kirsten Gillibrand got out while the getting was not entirely humiliating, shuttering her campaign yesterday.

Headed Home

Who didn't make the cut: Michael Bennet, Steve Bullock, John Delaney, Tim Ryan, Marianne Williamson, Tulsi Gabbard, and Bill de Blasio. Only the last two are worth mentioning further.

Some wonder why Bill de Blasio hasn't announced the end of his idiotic, New York taxpayer-funded campaign. Here's a clue: in two years and four months--the end of his term--de Blasio will become one of the most politically irrelevant figures in the country. He is hated by virtually everyone, and has proven to be one of the most inept mayors in NYC history.

Tulsi Gabbard, perhaps the top critical thinker in the field, was manipulated out of the show. Despite besting the magical 2% mark in several polling contests and beating the 130,000 individual donors mark, desperate DNC honcho Tom Perez decided after the fact that the polls where she made the cut didn't pass muster. Translated: her story of self-reliance and patriotism through military service don't fit the fake-woke leftist narrative. Reducing Kamala Harris to a second-tier candidate in one fell swoop (by exposing Dem hypocrisy on crime!) was a popular move...among Republicans. Lastly, Gabbard, a Bernie supporter in the last cycle, is the sole candidate to speak truth to the DNC's shameful rigging of the 2016 debates to favor Hillary Clinton.

Trump Tactics

Expect President Trump to keep his powder dry for now. Biden has hurt himself repeatedly, and by my estimation, fatally, so no need to waste ammunition. Trump tried to take Warren out early in the battle at Wounded Knee, only to give her time to respond, recover, and rebuild. He won't make the same mistake again. That leaves Bernie. Teeing off solely on Sanders would only confer status.

So, for now, best to jab at laughable GOP primary contenders "the three stooges," and focus on wins with Japan trade, wall construction, promising signs in the China trade war, and jobs, jobs, jobs.

Biden Out Of The Lead

Screencap: YouTube

Others will call it a "3-way tie" or a "logjam" or some such. Don't buy it. Joe Biden is finally out of first place for the Democratic nomination. It's a wonder that he stayed in first for so long considering the quantity of scandals surrounding the gaffe king.

In the latest poll from Monmouth State University, Biden fell from 32% to 19% support, while Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders and shot up from 15% and 14%, respectively, to tie for the lead at 20%. Ukraine, China, his son Hunter, authoring the 1994 crime bill, buddying up with segregationists, and sniffing/fondling other men's wives and children didn't matter to Dems, but apparently senility is another story.

CD Media picked a Dem ticket of Warren-Sanders earlier this month and predicted Biden's demise as early as May. Don't lend any credence to pundits who suggest Biden might regain momentum with a strong debate showing on September 12th. He's falling and won't get more than a dead cat bounce. Expect him to settle in around 12-15% for awhile and then slowly fade in October.

Biden chose to ignore Barack Obama's "You don't have to do this, Joe" comment about running, which was of course Obama begging Biden not to wreck what's left of the Obama legacy in a desperate bid for the office that has eluded him twice before. Rest assured Biden wishes now that he'd listened.

What To Expect Next

Warren and Sanders genuinely like one another, so don't expect too many cheap shots in the media or the debates. Unless Sanders has secretly resigned himself to the role of VP already, which is doubtful, he will have to go after Warren on college loan debt--an idea she claimed would enrich taxpayers, and which is now spinning out of control--and her ridiculous plan to forgive 95% of outstanding debt.

In turn, Warren would be silly not to point out Sanders' age (his 78th birthday is four days before the next debate). After all, everyone is focused on Biden's age, and although Sanders is only a couple of years older, he already looks like a nursing home patient.

The Pretenders

Nevertheless, expect civility between the frontrunners, and expect the other candidates, none of whom were affected by the massive transfusion of support from Biden to Warren/Sanders, to have their knives out. After all, it's do or die for the single-digit-support gang. 4th place Kamala Harris, queen of the losers, mustered only 8%. Her only hope is a new scandal or some gift-wrapped miracle like the Howard Dean scream or Michael Dukakis tank photo that somehow sinks both Warren and Sanders.

Bottom line: President Trump's most formidable potential opponent, the only reasonably moderate contender, has fallen, and can't get up. Expect Trump to stir the pot with vigor.

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